"The Changing Distribution of Big-City Crime: A Multi-City Time Series Analysis,"
Urban Affairs Quarterly, 13 (September, 1977), 33-48.
This article analyzes the changing relationship between the aggregate demographic characteristics of cities,
their investment in policing, and officially reported rates of crime. The data are for the nation’s 32 largest
cities, for the years 1946-1970. Analysis reveals that 1970 data support Louis Wirth’s contention that crime
rates are highest in large, dense, heterogeneous places; however, data from earlier years indicate that this
overlap is a relatively recent phenomenon. I suggest that this reflects the process of suburbanization. Since
World War II, white migration out of certain central cities has encouraged social changes which have led to
the current stratification of communities. This process resembles that which led to the formation of stratified
neighborhoods within cities during an earlier era; the current covariation between demography and crime
thus resembles that found at the subcommunity level 25 years ago.
Urban Affairs Quarterly, 13 (September, 1977), 33-48.
This article analyzes the changing relationship between the aggregate demographic characteristics of cities,
their investment in policing, and officially reported rates of crime. The data are for the nation’s 32 largest
cities, for the years 1946-1970. Analysis reveals that 1970 data support Louis Wirth’s contention that crime
rates are highest in large, dense, heterogeneous places; however, data from earlier years indicate that this
overlap is a relatively recent phenomenon. I suggest that this reflects the process of suburbanization. Since
World War II, white migration out of certain central cities has encouraged social changes which have led to
the current stratification of communities. This process resembles that which led to the formation of stratified
neighborhoods within cities during an earlier era; the current covariation between demography and crime
thus resembles that found at the subcommunity level 25 years ago.
Crime Trends
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |
| |
 |